Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | OKST +138 TEX -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -1.6 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.0 (+7.0) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -0.1 (+7.9) | 146.4 (-4.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.0 (+7.0) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.8 (+7.2) | 149.3 (-7.3) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2024 | TEX 81 – 65 OKST |
| Mar 10, 2023 | TEX 61 – 47 OKST |
| Jan 25, 2023 | TEX 89 – 75 OKST |
| Jan 7, 2023 | TEX 56 – 46 OKST |
| Jan 22, 2022 | TEX 56 – 51 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#53) | 14.3 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#23) | 2.97 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#17) | 4.20 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#29) | 0.623 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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