Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -175 UML +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UML -0.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -0.3 (+10.7) | 137.7 (-0.7) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -0.6 (+11.6) | 134.0 (+3.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -0.4 (+10.6) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -0.1 (+10.9) | 139.1 (-2.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#257) | -2.6 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#256) | -0.82 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#250) | -0.88 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#251) | 0.477 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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