Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -10000 IDHO +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +26 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -20.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -15.6 (+10.4) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -14.8 (+11.2) | 145.7 (+8.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -16.0 (+10.0) | 147.5 (+6.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -17.3 (+8.7) | 147.6 (+6.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | IDHO 81 – 68 EWU |
| Mar 3, 2026 | IDHO 85 – 81 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IDHO 84 – 81 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | EWU 75 – 73 IDHO |
| Jan 19, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 76 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-8 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-2 | 1-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#131) | -15.8 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#203) | -4.69 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#193) | -6.43 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#123) | 0.347 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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