Betting Lines
| Spread | CMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CMU -163 WMU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CMU -2.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -2.2 (-4.2) | 142.6 (-10.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -2.1 (-4.1) | 141.2 (-9.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CMU -2.6 (-4.6) | 143.1 (-11.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CMU -2.4 (-4.4) | 143.0 (-11.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-16 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 4-12 |
| Home | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#273) | -6.9 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#290) | -1.96 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#285) | -2.19 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#308) | 0.409 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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