I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Furman Paladins
67 – 75
FINAL Conference
Wofford Terriers
Southern Conference · Timmons Arena · February 6, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -6.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money FUR -250 / WOF +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual WOF +8 142 Lost
Massey FUR -7.9 (-15.9) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (-6.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -6.6 (-14.6) 147.7 (-5.7) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FUR -5.5 (-13.5) 141.7 (+0.3) 71% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FUR -6.5 (-14.5) 145.9 (-3.9) 72% ✗
Baseline ML FUR -6.8 (-14.8) 148.2 (-6.2) 74% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 FUR 76 – 67 WOF
Jan 17, 2026 WOF 74 – 70 FUR
Mar 10, 2025 WOF 92 – 85 FUR
Mar 1, 2025 FUR 78 – 75 WOF
Jan 14, 2025 WOF 81 – 62 FUR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR WOF
Overall 16-9 15-9
Conference 10-5 12-5
Home 11-1 9-3
Away 5-7 6-4
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.2 72.0
Avg Pts Against 70.5 70.0
Massey 8.9 (#61) 3.6 (#114)
Bradley-Terry 0.99 (#95) 0.96 (#99)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#89) 1.14 (#105)
RPI 0.549 (#81) 0.557 (#77)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR WOF
FG% 49.2% 45.3%
3PT% 35.9% 35.9%
REB / G 33.1 34.3
OREB / G 8.6 9.3
AST / TO 1.32 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.6% 54.9%
TOV% 17.9% 19.5%
ORB% 26.4% 27.6%
FT Rate 21.5% 18.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 18.7%
DRB% 69.1% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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