Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -225 LT +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -7.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -6.8 (-11.8) | 132.5 (-1.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -4.8 (-9.8) | 129.7 (+1.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -6.0 (-11.0) | 134.6 (-3.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -7.0 (-12.0) | 133.1 (-2.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | UNT 74 – 46 LT |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNT 72 – 62 LT |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UNT 67 – 65 LT |
| Mar 11, 2022 | LT 42 – 36 UNT |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNT 56 – 49 LT |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.