Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +6 | 78 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -3.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.9 (-43.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -3.4 (-9.4) | 120.4 (-42.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -3.6 (-9.6) | 121.2 (-43.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -3.9 (-9.9) | 125.2 (-47.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -4.0 (-10.0) | 123.1 (-45.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | UNT 74 – 46 LT |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNT 72 – 62 LT |
| Jan 12, 2023 | UNT 67 – 65 LT |
| Feb 26, 2022 | UNT 56 – 49 LT |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UNT 63 – 62 LT |
Game Analysis
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