Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UTM +175 TNTC -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -3.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -1.4 (+3.4) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.1 (+3.1) | 135.2 (-5.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -1.4 (+3.4) | 139.2 (-9.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -1.8 (+3.8) | 138.3 (-8.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTM 64 – 49 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UTM 86 – 62 TNTC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | UTM 70 – 67 TNTC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | TNTC 71 – 66 UTM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TNTC 89 – 85 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 5-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#343) | -11.1 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#319) | -2.65 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#328) | -3.18 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#318) | 0.415 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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