Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ODU +240 MRSH -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -6.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -3.9 (+4.9) | 139.7 (+23.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -2.5 (+3.5) | 141.4 (+21.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.8 (+4.8) | 144.2 (+18.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.7 (+4.7) | 141.0 (+22.0) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MRSH 97 – 88 ODU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | MRSH 81 – 79 ODU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | MRSH 83 – 66 ODU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 77 ODU |
| Feb 2, 2024 | ODU 83 – 76 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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