Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +35 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -30.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -19.5 (+15.5) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -20.3 (+14.7) | 151.2 (-0.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -26.8 (+8.2) | 149.6 (+1.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -25.6 (+9.4) | 147.1 (+3.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-9 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 4-9 | 2-13 |
| Home | 5-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 1-7 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 87.4 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#290) | -36.0 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#162) | -4.51 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#207) | -6.92 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#172) | 0.343 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 16.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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