Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -225 CSUB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +17 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -5.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.4 (+11.6) | 130.7 (-7.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -2.9 (+14.1) | 129.2 (-6.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -4.8 (+12.2) | 131.0 (-8.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.8 (+11.2) | 132.2 (-9.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#112) | 1.1 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#130) | 0.48 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#121) | 0.74 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#108) | 0.518 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 39.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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