Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU +200 CLT -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -5.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 112.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -5.3 (+6.3) | 121.9 (+9.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -3.4 (+4.4) | 126.0 (+5.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -4.4 (+5.4) | 125.0 (+6.0) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -5.5 (+6.5) | 124.9 (+6.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2023 | MTSU 66 – 65 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2023 | MTSU 62 – 58 CLT |
| Dec 29, 2022 | CLT 82 – 67 MTSU |
| Mar 3, 2022 | CLT 60 – 56 MTSU |
| Feb 13, 2022 | MTSU 78 – 63 CLT |
Game Analysis
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