Betting Lines
| Spread | GB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | GB -225 IUIN +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +7 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | GB -4.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GB -3.3 (+3.7) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GB -2.7 (+4.3) | 146.2 (+4.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GB -3.9 (+3.1) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GB -3.4 (+3.6) | 148.6 (+2.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | GB 75 – 59 IUIN |
| Dec 11, 2025 | GB 85 – 75 IUIN |
| Jan 23, 2025 | IUIN 86 – 77 GB |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IUIN 84 – 75 GB |
| Feb 1, 2024 | GB 79 – 56 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-17 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-6 | 3-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#280) | -9.0 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#294) | -0.88 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#278) | -1.47 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#288) | 0.456 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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