Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -120 UIW +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +5 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -1.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-23.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -1.4 (-3.6) | 134.2 (-23.2) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.8 (-4.2) | 133.0 (-22.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -1.1 (-3.9) | 135.1 (-24.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -1.5 (-3.5) | 135.7 (-24.7) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 8-14 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 4-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#332) | -9.6 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.20 (#343) | -2.42 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.04 (#346) | -3.51 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#337) | 0.386 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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