Betting Lines
| Spread | CARK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -175 MCN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | CARK -9.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -8.2 (-18.2) | 150.9 (-0.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CARK -7.5 (-17.5) | 148.5 (+1.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -6.7 (-16.7) | 152.4 (-2.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -8.5 (-18.5) | 151.6 (-1.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 2, 2021 | CARK 81 – 67 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Home | 4-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#310) | -16.8 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#336) | -4.01 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#337) | -5.53 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#289) | 0.310 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 25.3% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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