And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Southland Conference · Burton Coliseum · January 2, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CARK -2.0 Away covered
O/U 162.0 Under
Money MCN +115 / CARK -135
Model Predictions
Spread Total MCN win
Actual CARK +14 148 Lost
Massey CARK -9.9 (-4.1) — —
Massey Totals — 159.4 (-11.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 35% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CARK -7.5 (-6.5) 150.1 (-2.1) 25% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CARK -7.1 (-6.9) 153.7 (-5.7) 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CARK -7.7 (-6.3) 152.8 (-4.8) 21% ✓
Baseline ML CARK -6.1 (-7.9) 152.6 (-4.6) 23% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 6, 2021 MCN 80 – 70 CARK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MCN CARK
Overall 10-14 5-19
Conference 4-10 4-12
Home 7-5 4-5
Away 3-8 1-14
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 0-3 0-5
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 70.0
Avg Pts Against 78.1 82.8
Massey -17.1 (#327) -3.7 (#223)
Bradley-Terry -3.00 (#321) -1.77 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.82 (#331) -2.31 (#277)
RPI 0.284 (#333) 0.481 (#186)
Shooting & Four Factors MCN CARK
FG% 41.7% 40.3%
3PT% 30.9% 37.9%
REB / G 32.7 36.6
OREB / G 8.7 9.3
AST / TO 0.53 0.65
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.9% 46.9%
TOV% 26.9% 26.9%
ORB% 23.0% 25.7%
FT Rate 26.4% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.1% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 15.8%
DRB% 69.2% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 29.5% 20.8%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.