Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -110 NKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -2.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -1.1 (-15.1) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.6 (-14.6) | 140.8 (+3.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -1.5 (-15.5) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -1.4 (-15.4) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#238) | -4.7 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#246) | -0.56 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#255) | -0.94 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#257) | 0.488 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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