Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ +188 CREI -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -4.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -2.3 (-0.7) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -2.2 (-0.8) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -2.3 (-0.7) | 146.1 (-7.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -2.2 (-0.8) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MARQ 86 – 62 CREI |
| Dec 21, 2025 | CREI 84 – 63 MARQ |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CREI 77 – 67 MARQ |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MARQ 79 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CREI 89 – 75 MARQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 22-9 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#90) | 13.6 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#79) | 2.13 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#83) | 2.92 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#147) | 0.548 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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