Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CONN +110 HALL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | CONN -3.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -3.7 (-10.7) | 135.6 (+17.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -3.7 (-10.7) | 133.7 (+19.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -2.8 (-9.8) | 135.0 (+18.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -3.2 (-10.2) | 137.6 (+15.4) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 10-9 |
| Home | 7-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#37) | 10.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.92 (#49) | 1.75 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#40) | 2.55 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#57) | 0.568 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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