Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTU +138 SEA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTU +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -2.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.4 (+2.4) | 144.8 (+8.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.7 (+2.7) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.2 (+3.2) | 147.2 (+5.8) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -1.2 (+2.2) | 145.0 (+8.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-13 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#333) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#310) | -1.31 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#315) | -1.60 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#277) | 0.391 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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