Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Over |
| Money | LUC -8000 EVAN +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -24.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (-0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -16.2 (-3.2) | 127.5 (-4.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -19.6 (-6.6) | 128.5 (-5.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -21.4 (-8.4) | 129.0 (-6.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -19.7 (-6.7) | 128.3 (-5.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | LUC 82 – 31 EVAN |
| Jan 19, 2022 | LUC 77 – 48 EVAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | LUC 69 – 58 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.4 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#11) | -5.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#43) | -0.71 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#43) | -1.00 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#49) | 0.454 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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