Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +29 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -17.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -14.5 (-14.5) | 132.0 (-7.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -13.4 (-15.6) | 134.6 (-9.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -13.1 (-15.9) | 134.1 (-9.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -12.4 (-16.6) | 133.2 (-8.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | LUC 82 – 31 EVAN |
| Feb 7, 2021 | LUC 69 – 58 EVAN |
| Feb 6, 2021 | LUC 68 – 55 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.8 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 61.9 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#296) | 13.4 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#332) | 3.09 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#319) | 3.97 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#325) | 0.624 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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