Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SC -125 MSST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -1.3 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -1.4 (-17.4) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -0.2 (-15.8) | 140.8 (-6.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -0.8 (-16.8) | 143.0 (-9.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -1.3 (-17.3) | 144.7 (-10.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC 97 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST 65 – 60 SC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST 85 – 50 SC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC 93 – 89 MSST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 62 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 3-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#92) | 7.3 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#92) | 0.87 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#96) | 1.50 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#88) | 0.516 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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