Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | EKU +150 MUR -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | EKU -5.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.4 (-17.4) | 150.3 (-10.3) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -4.8 (-16.8) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -5.4 (-17.4) | 148.8 (-8.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.8 (-17.8) | 150.7 (-10.7) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-7 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#139) | -1.0 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#102) | -1.30 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#149) | -1.49 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#109) | 0.414 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.