Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -333 SIU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -8.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.5 (+1.5) | 134.6 (+5.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -5.7 (+2.3) | 130.9 (+9.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.7 (+1.3) | 133.3 (+6.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -6.3 (+1.7) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BRAD 70 – 60 SIU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 69 SIU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BRAD 78 – 64 SIU |
| Dec 4, 2024 | BRAD 83 – 60 SIU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 67 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#123) | -2.7 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#189) | -0.15 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#201) | -0.65 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#166) | 0.483 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.