Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -125 UNA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +26 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.1 (+26.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -0.9 (+25.1) | 142.0 (+4.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.9 (+25.1) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -0.9 (+25.1) | 143.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -0.8 (+25.2) | 141.9 (+4.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#294) | -5.7 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#235) | -0.84 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#248) | -1.15 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#291) | 0.441 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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