Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -125 UTSA +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -3.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -0.6 (-7.6) | 154.0 (+13.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.4 (-9.4) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.5 (-8.5) | 154.1 (+12.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -2.0 (-9.0) | 153.6 (+13.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UTSA 95 – 91 FIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FIU 77 – 72 UTSA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTSA 73 – 66 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 90 – 47 FIU |
Game Analysis
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