Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +188 FIU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +5 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -0.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -0.1 (-5.1) | 145.8 (+3.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -1.2 (-3.8) | 145.0 (+4.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -0.3 (-4.7) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -0.7 (-4.3) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UTSA 95 – 91 FIU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTSA 73 – 66 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 90 – 47 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 87 – 80 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#322) | -5.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#292) | -0.64 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#287) | -1.15 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#294) | 0.452 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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