Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -5.4 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -2.6 (+9.6) | 136.9 (+2.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.4 (+9.4) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.6 (+11.6) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -4.3 (+11.3) | 136.3 (+2.7) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UTSA 95 – 91 FIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FIU 77 – 72 UTSA |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 90 – 47 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 87 – 80 FIU |
Game Analysis
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