Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | FIU -110 UTSA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +43 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -3.1 (-46.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -2.3 (-45.3) | 154.4 (-17.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -2.4 (-45.4) | 152.4 (-15.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -1.8 (-44.8) | 154.5 (-17.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -2.1 (-45.1) | 154.3 (-17.3) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UTSA 95 – 91 FIU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | FIU 77 – 72 UTSA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTSA 73 – 66 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 87 – 80 FIU |
Game Analysis
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