Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -250 UTSA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTSA +4 | 186 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -9.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+36.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -7.4 (-11.4) | 149.4 (+36.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -7.2 (-11.2) | 150.7 (+35.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -8.2 (-12.2) | 149.0 (+37.0) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -7.0 (-11.0) | 149.5 (+36.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2023 | FIU 77 – 72 UTSA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UTSA 73 – 66 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 90 – 47 FIU |
| Feb 6, 2021 | UTSA 87 – 80 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#219) | -8.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#188) | -1.43 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#217) | -1.77 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#228) | 0.425 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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