Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -150 ORU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +7 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -3.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -3.4 (+3.6) | 141.2 (-26.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -3.3 (+3.7) | 140.7 (-25.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -3.9 (+3.1) | 142.3 (-27.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -3.7 (+3.3) | 142.9 (-27.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#164) | -1.2 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#233) | -1.35 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#231) | -1.61 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#189) | 0.496 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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