Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -175 TOW +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -5.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+38.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.5 (-1.5) | 137.2 (+40.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.0 (-1.0) | 135.2 (+42.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.9 (-1.9) | 139.0 (+39.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.3 (-1.3) | 139.0 (+39.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TOW 81 – 56 COFC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TOW 61 – 52 COFC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COFC 77 – 69 TOW |
| Mar 11, 2024 | COFC 61 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | COFC 72 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 3-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-4 |
| Away | 1-3 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#227) | -6.7 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#240) | -1.23 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#238) | -1.56 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#270) | 0.425 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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