Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ETSU -225 UTC +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -7.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -6.4 (-8.4) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -5.6 (-7.6) | 137.8 (-5.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -6.0 (-8.0) | 139.1 (-7.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -6.7 (-8.7) | 138.8 (-6.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | ETSU 73 – 61 UTC |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ETSU 67 – 66 UTC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UTC 78 – 71 ETSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UTC 71 – 63 ETSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | ETSU 85 – 84 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 18-8 |
| Conference | 8-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#103) | 0.3 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#116) | 0.62 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#98) | 0.59 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#74) | 0.531 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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