Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +125 MONT -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +5 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -2.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -1.5 (+6.5) | 130.7 (-13.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -0.7 (+4.3) | 130.3 (-13.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.2 (+6.2) | 132.2 (-15.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.1 (+6.1) | 130.1 (-13.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#265) | -1.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#314) | -1.23 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#318) | -1.34 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#330) | 0.476 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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