You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–11 on winners spread MAE 9.7 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio State @ Iowa +4.3 157.3 65% 89–85 ✗
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +7.0 129.2 77% 53–59 ✓
Arizona @ Utah -2.7 141.7 41% 58–73 ✗
Cincinnati @ Temple +0.0 137.5 51% 63–60 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +8.7 155.1 79% 78–70 ✗
Murray State @ Morehead State +4.1 126.9 72% 56–66 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +7.3 148.7 74% 94–79 ✗
BYU @ Portland -12.9 151.4 14% 105–60 ✓
Belmont @ Eastern Illinois -10.3 147.2 18% 89–61 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pacific -15.1 155.8 15% 76–58 ✓
Washington @ Oregon State +4.8 140.0 74% 71–91 ✓
Stanford @ California -5.1 131.8 32% 70–55 ✓
Minnesota @ Rutgers +3.7 142.6 70% 72–76 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -7.0 149.3 24% 74–72 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -10.5 130.0 19% 69–53 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Southeast Missouri State +4.3 137.5 72% 64–68 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UT Martin -8.7 138.1 18% 82–70 ✓
Montana State @ Weber State +7.2 144.7 81% 88–96 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -13.4 144.4 14% 89–75 ✓
Montana @ Portland State +1.4 130.5 57% 70–64 ✗
Washington State @ Oregon +8.7 137.6 80% 74–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Denver -3.5 140.0 30% 85–82 ✓
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire +0.4 134.5 54% 74–69 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +5.0 136.9 67% 62–88 ✓
Saint Francis @ Merrimack +2.4 136.3 64% 54–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn -0.1 144.2 45% 84–81 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Long Island University +8.3 154.8 78% 77–62 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +3.8 146.3 64% 80–71 ✗
Little Rock @ Texas State +3.1 124.0 61% 47–57 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Radford +9.3 133.9 81% 66–102 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +2.3 137.0 52% 87–73 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +6.8 150.6 76% 72–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.