And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · February 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BEL -14.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money EIU +1100 / BEL -1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual BEL +28 150 Lost
Massey BEL -12.7 (-15.3) — —
Massey Totals — 152.6 (-2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 4% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 2% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BEL -10.3 (-17.7) 147.2 (+2.8) 18% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BEL -12.9 (-15.1) 149.4 (+0.6) 15% ✓
Baseline ML BEL -12.8 (-15.2) 151.1 (-1.1) 14% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BEL -12.5 (-15.5) 150.3 (-0.3) 14% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2022 BEL 81 – 57 EIU
Jan 24, 2022 BEL 90 – 56 EIU
Jan 22, 2021 BEL 79 – 66 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU BEL
Overall 9-18 26-4
Conference 6-14 18-2
Home 5-7 11-1
Away 4-11 10-2
Neutral 0-0 5-1
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.4 81.3
Avg Pts Against 74.9 69.1
Massey -9.3 (#302) 6.0 (#91)
Bradley-Terry -1.92 (#308) 1.77 (#56)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.80 (#318) 1.50 (#85)
RPI 0.410 (#303) 0.543 (#95)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU BEL
FG% 41.7% 50.8%
3PT% 31.2% 36.0%
REB / G 34.8 34.4
OREB / G 10.8 7.4
AST / TO 0.91 1.45
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 58.5%
TOV% 19.0% 16.7%
ORB% 28.3% 23.3%
FT Rate 17.2% 23.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 21.2%
DRB% 70.4% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 17.1%

Game Analysis

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