And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Ohio Valley Conference · Curb Event Center Arena · January 22, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BEL -11.5 Home covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money BEL -700 / EIU +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total BEL win
Actual BEL +13 145 Won
Massey BEL -14.1 (-1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 158.6 (-13.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BEL -11.7 (+1.3) 155.4 (-10.4) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BEL -13.8 (-0.8) 155.4 (-10.4) 88% ✓
Baseline ML BEL -13.4 (-0.4) 157.2 (-12.2) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BEL -13.8 (-0.8) 156.7 (-11.7) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2022 BEL 81 – 57 EIU
Jan 24, 2022 BEL 90 – 56 EIU
Feb 5, 2021 BEL 89 – 61 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BEL EIU
Overall 26-4 9-18
Conference 18-2 6-14
Home 11-1 5-7
Away 10-2 4-11
Neutral 5-1 0-0
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 81.3 69.4
Avg Pts Against 69.1 74.9
Massey 4.7 (#104) -6.7 (#273)
Bradley-Terry 1.51 (#72) -1.20 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.41 (#101) -1.69 (#270)
RPI 0.520 (#131) 0.418 (#290)
Shooting & Four Factors BEL EIU
FG% 49.3% 42.9%
3PT% 33.9% 32.8%
REB / G 35.7 36.0
OREB / G 8.2 11.4
AST / TO 1.31 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.7% 48.4%
TOV% 17.5% 18.0%
ORB% 24.8% 29.2%
FT Rate 25.0% 18.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 20.8% 19.7%
DRB% 73.5% 72.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.2% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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