I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
Ohio Valley Conference · Groniger Arena · January 24, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BEL -25.5 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Over
Money EIU +2000 / BEL -10000
Model Predictions
Spread Total EIU win
Actual BEL +34 146 Lost
Massey BEL -26.8 (-7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 133.1 (+12.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 0% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BEL -17.7 (-16.3) 138.8 (+7.2) 11% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BEL -16.1 (-17.9) 135.1 (+10.9) 13% ✓
Baseline ML BEL -19.3 (-14.7) 136.9 (+9.1) 12% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BEL -18.4 (-15.6) 138.3 (+7.7) 12% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2022 BEL 81 – 57 EIU
Feb 5, 2021 BEL 89 – 61 EIU
Jan 22, 2021 BEL 79 – 66 EIU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EIU BEL
Overall 5-26 25-8
Conference 3-15 15-3
Home 4-9 13-1
Away 1-16 10-5
Neutral 0-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L6 L2
Avg Pts For 54.3 77.1
Avg Pts Against 71.4 68.1
Massey -19.9 (#356) 10.3 (#44)
Bradley-Terry -4.65 (#357) 1.92 (#50)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.96 (#356) 2.21 (#56)
RPI 0.324 (#356) 0.597 (#38)
Shooting & Four Factors EIU BEL
FG% 36.1% 49.1%
3PT% 30.9% 34.6%
REB / G 30.0 34.3
OREB / G 7.1 8.6
AST / TO 0.66 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.0% 56.3%
TOV% 24.3% 17.0%
ORB% 20.2% 26.6%
FT Rate 17.2% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 17.6% 19.9%
DRB% 65.7% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 17.3%

Game Analysis

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