Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -27.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -10000 EIU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -30.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -23.1 (+0.9) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -21.4 (+2.6) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -25.7 (-1.7) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -26.9 (-2.9) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2022 | BEL 90 – 56 EIU |
| Feb 5, 2021 | BEL 89 – 61 EIU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | BEL 79 – 66 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-9 |
| Away | 10-5 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#49) | -17.4 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#40) | -3.08 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#55) | -3.63 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#30) | 0.358 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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