Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UNH -163 UML +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -0.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -0.3 (-5.3) | 136.9 (+6.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -0.4 (-5.4) | 134.5 (+8.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -1.6 (-6.6) | 137.9 (+5.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -0.4 (-5.4) | 138.6 (+4.4) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | UML 78 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNH 66 – 61 UML |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNH 80 – 79 UML |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UML 97 – 80 UNH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UNH 89 – 73 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 3-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#247) | -2.9 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#243) | -1.03 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#241) | -1.05 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#237) | 0.462 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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