Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -250 PFW +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -7.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -6.7 (+3.3) | 152.8 (+1.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -6.8 (+3.2) | 150.6 (+3.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -9.1 (+0.9) | 152.3 (+1.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -6.6 (+3.4) | 153.4 (+0.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | PFW 83 – 76 DETM |
| Dec 14, 2025 | PFW 81 – 77 DETM |
| Jan 12, 2025 | PFW 90 – 67 DETM |
| Dec 5, 2024 | DETM 79 – 78 PFW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | PFW 83 – 69 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-10 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 7-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#204) | -7.4 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#240) | -1.40 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#217) | -1.84 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#242) | 0.417 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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