Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -21.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -14.6 (-3.4) | 158.3 (-24.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.1 (-2.9) | 155.8 (-21.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -19.3 (+1.3) | 158.9 (-24.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -17.4 (-0.6) | 154.0 (-20.0) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | GONZ 71 – 62 PAC |
| Feb 9, 2025 | GONZ 78 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GONZ 102 – 76 PAC |
| Jan 28, 2024 | GONZ 82 – 73 PAC |
| Jan 22, 2023 | GONZ 99 – 90 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 31-1 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 15-0 |
| Home | 6-2 | 12-0 |
| Away | 3-6 | 7-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 12-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 91.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#159) | 24.0 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#96) | 5.15 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#114) | 6.95 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#31) | 0.665 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 55.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 61.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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