Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTAH +130 ARIZ -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -3.1 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -1.1 (+16.1) | 144.8 (-13.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -2.7 (+17.7) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.0 (+16.0) | 145.6 (-14.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -1.3 (+16.3) | 145.8 (-14.8) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | ARIZ 97 – 78 UTAH |
| Feb 27, 2025 | ARIZ 83 – 66 UTAH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | ARIZ 105 – 99 UTAH |
| Jan 7, 2024 | ARIZ 92 – 73 UTAH |
| Feb 17, 2023 | ARIZ 88 – 62 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#86) | 12.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#133) | 1.73 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#108) | 2.35 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#138) | 0.571 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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