I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Pac-12 Conference · Matthew Knight Arena · February 5, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -11.5 Away covered
O/U 136.0 Over
Money ORE -700 / WSU +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual WSU +3 145 Lost
Massey ORE -11.1 (-14.1) — —
Massey Totals — 135.5 (+9.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -9.9 (-12.9) 138.7 (+6.3) 84% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORE -8.7 (-11.7) 137.6 (+7.4) 80% ✗
Baseline Plus ML ORE -9.8 (-12.8) 141.0 (+4.0) 82% ✗
Baseline ML ORE -9.9 (-12.9) 138.9 (+6.1) 81% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 10, 2024 WSU 62 – 56 ORE
Jan 7, 2024 ORE 89 – 84 WSU
Mar 9, 2023 ORE 75 – 70 WSU
Feb 20, 2023 WSU 68 – 65 ORE
Dec 2, 2022 ORE 74 – 60 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE WSU
Overall 21-7 14-13
Conference 14-4 7-12
Home 11-2 11-5
Away 7-2 3-6
Neutral 4-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 72.3 68.6
Avg Pts Against 66.0 67.4
Massey 11.3 (#40) 2.8 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 1.78 (#54) 0.68 (#126)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.38 (#56) 0.91 (#122)
RPI 0.562 (#73) 0.513 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE WSU
FG% 46.6% 41.6%
3PT% 34.7% 33.6%
REB / G 35.5 38.5
OREB / G 9.7 10.7
AST / TO 1.13 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 48.1%
TOV% 17.0% 21.6%
ORB% 27.9% 29.4%
FT Rate 18.4% 25.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 45.0%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 18.3%
DRB% 76.0% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 22.6% 21.5%

Game Analysis

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