Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -200 MINN +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -4.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -5.4 (-1.4) | 138.4 (+9.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -3.7 (+0.3) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -5.9 (-1.9) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -6.0 (-2.0) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | RUTG 72 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | MINN 80 – 61 RUTG |
| Mar 9, 2025 | RUTG 75 – 67 MINN |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MINN 81 – 70 RUTG |
| Mar 3, 2023 | MINN 75 – 74 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 14-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#28) | 10.8 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#32) | 2.48 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#24) | 3.54 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#45) | 0.579 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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