Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +300 CSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -10.9 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -8.9 (+6.9) | 153.9 (-7.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -7.0 (+5.0) | 149.3 (-3.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -8.6 (+6.6) | 153.9 (-7.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -9.1 (+7.1) | 153.5 (-7.5) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CSU 79 – 68 WYO |
| Feb 1, 2026 | WYO 68 – 57 CSU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CSU 88 – 53 WYO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CSU 79 – 63 WYO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CSU 70 – 62 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 20-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#221) | 9.9 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#142) | 2.27 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#150) | 2.47 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#215) | 0.623 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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