Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +100 NKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -4.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -4.1 (-18.1) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -2.3 (-16.3) | 137.0 (+23.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.8 (-17.8) | 141.1 (+18.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.7 (-17.7) | 141.9 (+18.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | NKU 67 – 62 MILW |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NKU 85 – 67 MILW |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MILW 92 – 70 NKU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MILW 79 – 59 NKU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | MILW 82 – 75 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 4-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#220) | -5.8 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#226) | -0.76 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#243) | -1.28 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#252) | 0.475 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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