Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UTM +400 JXST -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -12.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -9.9 (-2.1) | 143.5 (+8.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -8.7 (-3.3) | 138.1 (+13.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.9 (-2.1) | 142.0 (+10.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -9.4 (-2.6) | 143.8 (+8.2) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2020 | JXST 80 – 70 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#343) | -1.6 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#317) | -0.07 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.20 (#329) | -0.25 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#309) | 0.502 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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