Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | JXST -700 UTM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -18.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -13.1 (-3.1) | 138.2 (+11.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -13.7 (-3.7) | 139.1 (+10.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -12.5 (-2.5) | 139.3 (+10.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -13.8 (-3.8) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2021 | JXST 82 – 70 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#141) | -13.0 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#127) | -0.82 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#143) | -2.04 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#119) | 0.410 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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